A few months ago, I thought that a McCain victory-by-default was likely. In a year that should be terrible for Republicans, Barack Obama just can’t “close the deal”.
Then Sen. Obama told Joe the Plundered that he wanted to “spread the wealth around”, called people who object to obscene tax rates selfish, and even said he wanted to “bankrupt” the coal industry (I guess he doesn’t want to carry Virginia after all).
People just don’t feel safe with Sen. Obama, especially people in the most likely voting demographics. That’s especially bad news for Sen. Obama because of the high number of still undecided voters, who I think will break mostly for Sen. McCain; they’ll close the curtain on the voting booth, think about their hard-earned money, think about their children’s security from terrorists, and vote for John McCain.
So while it should be a bad year for Republicans, the Democrats have nominated a candidate who might not be able to take advantage of their well-deserved weakness.
But then again, the Republicans have nominated a guy who’s such a philosophical flake that he can’t stay long enough in one principled position to take full advantage of the Democrat’s obvious flaws. If John McCain had built on his superior national-security credentials with a consistent fiscal conservatism, if he had vocally opposed the Bush bail-out as the wealth transfer it is, instead of trying to exacerbate it with an absurd plan to saddle the taxpayers with other people’s bad mortgages, I think he’d be 5-10 points ahead in the polls.
But both major parties have nominated just about the worst candidates they could have. And so, I think we may be in for a long night tomorrow.